The DAX index continues to have an uneventful week. Currently, the
pair is trading at 12,378, up 0.10% on the day. On the release front,
German Final GDP improved to 0.5% in the second quarter, matching the
estimate. Investors will be monitoring the economic symposium at Jackson
Hole as Federal Chair Jerome Powell addresses the meeting.
The ECB released the minutes of its July meeting on Thursday.
Policymakers were in agreement that economic growth in the eurozone was
as expected, and saw no need to tweak monetary p0licy. The minutes noted
that the eurozone economy remained in expansion mode and unemployment
was falling. However, the threat of protectionism and a global trade war
marked serious concerns, which if not addressed, could dampen eurozone
growth. Inflation has risen to 1.7%, which some, though it remains
unclear if this meets the ECB target of “close to but below 2.0%”. With
the ECB expected to wind up its asset-purchase program in December,
investors will be looking for policymakers to confirm this move.
With a lack of data for the markets to digest the week, the Federal
Reserve is in the spotlight. On Wednesday, the Fed released the minutes
from its August meeting. The minutes noted that the U.S economy remains
strong and hinted that the Fed would raise rates in September. However,
policymakers expressed concern about escalating trade tensions, saying
that a global trade war could hurt the U.S economy. On Friday, Fed Chair
Powell will address the Jackson Hole symposium. With the heads of the
ECB and Bank of Japan conspicuously absent, Powell’s speech will be the
main event of the meeting. With a September rate hike practically a
given, investors will be looking for Powell to discuss trade tensions,
particularly with China, as well as the lack of wage growth despite a
tight labor market. Earlier this week, Powell said that the Federal
Reserve would maintain its independence and would not be influenced by
President Trump’s criticism of the Fed’s plans to continue raising
interest rates.
Economic Calendar
Friday (August 24)
- 2:00 German Final GDP. Estimate 0.5%
- 10:00 Federal Reserve Chair Powell Speaks
- Day 2 – Jackson Hole Symposium
*All release times are DST
*Key events are in bold
DAX, Friday, August 24 at 5:55 DST
Previous Close: 12,365 Open: 12,381 Low: 12,360 High: 12,444 Close: 12,392

via : marketpulse
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